POWER BI: Modeling

Statistical Functions


EXPON.DIST function
Definition:

An exponential distibution is used to model the time between events occuring or the wait time for an event. It assumes that events are independent of each other. It also has a key property of being memoryless. Some applications include time until an electronic component breaks, or waiting time until the next phone call at a customer service center.

Syntax:
${EXPON.DIST(x, \lambda ,cumulative)}$

Where ${\lambda}$ is the rate, related to ${1 \over mean}$.
If cummulative is set to True, the the cummulative distribution function is returned. The formula for this is: ${1 - e^{-x \lambda}}$

If cummuulative is set to False, the probability density function is returned. The formula for this is : ${\lambda e^{-x \lambda}}$

Example Formulas:

In the Power BI formula bar define the following measures:

                   prob density = EXPON.DIST(1,2,false)
	            

This returns the following formula:

                  cummulative distribution = EXPON.DIST(1,2,True)
            
	            

Example:

The lifetime of a lightbulb follows a exponential distribution with a mean value of 0.5 years. Find the probability that the light bulb dies in the first year:

Answer:
${\lambda = {1 \over 0.5} = {2} }$
${x = 1 }$
To find the probability of dying within the first year, use the cummulative formula in Power BI.
This should return ${1 - e^{(-1)(2)} = 0.86}$
There is an 86% chance the light bulb will die within the first year.

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